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CNBC 64
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CNBC
Nov 20, 2012 12:00pm EST
by the charges of the u.s. attorney. we will take you there live as well. but first, we meet the traders for the hour. steven weiss, joe and john naje najerayan, so a lot of digest. steve, you have this market rally, trying to go for a third straight day. going to be listening closely to the fed chairman in new york. >> i don't think bernanke is going to affect the rally one way or the other. what's driving the market is optimism over avoiding fiscal cliff and a deal, so the caution i would offer is that negotiations are going to make their way to the headlines and just be prepared for volatility. i think now, this allows us to move higher because the big decline we have, but at some point, you've got the say okay, we're going to get some big sells in front of the new tax laws. we've seen big dividend payments. you also have to watch dividend stocks, but it's not going to be smooth sailing going forward. >> joe, you can get some clues today on future stimulus. by the fed when he spoke speaks in manhattan. also likely get questions about the fiscal cliff. >> absolutely and i think there i
CNBC
Nov 12, 2012 9:00am EST
timetable. if they don't see that it would be inconsistent with maintaining a aaa rating. the u.s. is on negative outlook. s&p already downgraded. >> i think that we all kind of remember what happened -- i think that the big worry on the left side would be i think listen, nothing happened. interest rates went down again. that's a scare tactic. i'll use a scare tactic. $600 billion in new taxes january 1. that's reality. >> unemployment going back to 9.1 if this happens. that's a number that gets your attention. the "times" does a nice piece about fix the debt group. groups of very large companies trying to weigh in on their own side with ads. i don't know if we have them right now. nike with a mock nike ad that says just fix it. mcdonald's saying i'm fixing it. >> home depot. we can fix it. >> that group raised a lot of money over the last year or so. $30 million, $40 million, more than you might have anticipated to mount this public campaign. >> dave is doing a lot of great things. ceo of honeywell. wants to put aside -- i don't know if he's a democrat or republican. i know he's
CNBC
Nov 8, 2012 6:00am EST
. u.s. equity futures should be interesting to look at temperature basically on hold. not sure what to do after yesterday. we'll talk more about the economy in a minute with david rosenburg. it was pretty clear yesterday that depending on how you wanted to spin it, could you say how do you do for another four years. i don't remember any euro news in the last six months no matter how bad it was, we didn't get it free handle. so there's more to it than just europe. >> it was the fiscal cliff, but also the financials got hit so hard. if it had been romney, the cliff would be less of a deal because they would stepped all of them. so now we know and we lettered it first hand yesterday. boehner said we're open to tax increase, but part of a bigger plan that involves spending cuts. dove did a bungee -- >> worst thing i ever did. >> but it goes down and then right back up. >> the worst part is you feel like you're connected on something, but don't. it's a free fall until the very he said and then he start to feel like i'm connected to something and it throws being back into the air. >> my q
CNBC
Nov 22, 2012 12:00pm EST
. >> an american team of top experts arrived shortly after the disaster, but they were largely stuck at the u.s. embassy. the japanese didn't think they needed the help. but the emergency was out of control, and the u.s. gave the japanese an ominous private warning. >> that if, you know, we don't expand the efforts, we'll require heroic work done that could be, you know, quite devastating for the workers. >> what do we mean by that? >> that means they could very well lose their lives. >> an official with the u.s. government told the japanese that "your people are gonna have to die save that plant unless you let us help you." >> yes. >> at one point during the week, the hazard was so great, the japanese took all but about 70 workers out of the plant. their problem is water. the systems that keep the radioactive fuel rods cool failed. the rods are partially melting, releasing radiation. and it's not just the reactors. there are also used fuel rods, essentially nuclear waste, stored in pools nearby. they're also losing water, and american experts fear that one of these pools is already dry. neshei
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 7:00pm EST
that sucked up the oxygen. hamas is a group that's recognized as a terrorist organization by the u.s. government, the israeli government and the european union, has increased shelling in areas of israel over recent weeks. they now have shelled tel aviv and 180 missiles went into southern israel. so israel for its own self-defense, its right of self-defense is organizing, rallying more reserve troops, getting ready for more permanent action. it can and should do what's necessary to protect its citizens, which means inflicting damage on hamas. >> heavy damage, deep damage. go as long as it takes. but john, given what you and ambassador williamson just said, where is the white house on this? the best we can find is not a public statement. the best we can find came out of a white house statement. i'll quote, israel has the right to self-defense in light of the rocket attacks. but that's not the president really standing up for israel. this was some white house spokesman echoed by the state department, john. that ain't the kind of support that i'm looking for. >> my information, very fres
CNBC
Nov 7, 2012 9:00am EST
economists and business leaders say could send the u.s. economy back into recession. here we have an interesting divide between wall street and washington. wall street seems to believe and you can take a look at the numbers on how the market has acted over the past year. wall street seems to believe that we'll avert this cliff. washington seems to be willing to drive over the cliff. >> i think there's -- i don't want to pick on the tea party per se. you can say if obama would suddenly give in on taxes. what i worry about is there are people who are ideological in the country and more focused on other issues than taxation and money. those people i think are very much out of sync with other people as we discovered last night from the election. they could care less about the fiscal cliff. i think some people want to go over the cliff. >> howard dean last night, sam on "squawk" a couple weeks ago saying maybe it's the best medicine for us is to drive over this thing, go into a recession, provide some bed for growth in the second half of the year. it's a gamble. >> $5 trillion in cuts.
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 9:00am EST
territory. >> the head of mcdonald's u.s. business is out and jeff stratton will assume that business starting january 1. capped off last month with the first decline in monthly sales in about nine years. we'll begin with a teale of two retailers. walmart, revenues coming in short of forecast. -- as for target, the company posted third quarter earnings well above estimates, says it's poised for a strong fourth quarter, but walmart has some issues here, jim. they're talking countries including but not limited to brazil, china and some others too. >> yeah, i was thinking it bick, not brick. russia has been left out of the equation, foreign corrupt investigation, not a great number here at all. the stock had become a very big institutional favorite. if you recall during the mexican investigation, when "new york times" piece it, the stock was trading between 57 and 58. they were then overridden by a couple of really good, solid quarters. this was not the quarter that anyone was looking for. >> except for those who sold the stock over the last couple of weeks. i mean that stock has started
CNBC
Nov 22, 2012 5:00pm EST
's wrong with that? [ticking] >> when the u.s. oil companies came here in the '40s and '50s, the americans moved into the area with their families and developed it to suit their tastes and their way of life. they created a replica of american suburbia. today you could be in the outskirts of houston or los angeles. it's almost like it's an enclave within saudi arabia. it's--different from the rest of the country. >> yes, that's true, because-- >> very different. it kept a lot of the american ways. >> yes, of course. >> but blocked off from the rest. >> they are good ways. there's nothing wrong with it. these were their excellent ways. >> welcome to 60 minutes on cnbc. i'm morley safer. in this edition, we follow the flow of big oil from massive, mega billion dollar oil fields in saudi arabia to the u.s. where wall street refines the oil into a mega billion dollar commodity. we begin with a look back to 2008 when the price of oil, theoretically tied to supply and demand, suddenly became untethered. storage tanks were full, yet the price skyrocketed from $69 a barrel to nearly $150 before it
CNBC
Nov 8, 2012 5:00pm EST
to be sure she would never forget the day of the u.s. election. in case you are wondering the twin named barack obama was born first. >> that's a horrible y. >> can you imagine the little kids going around with the names mitt romney and barack obama? >> you don't have to imagine that. >> the poor kid that's romney. >> good point. up next, "fast money" digs into america's quest for energy independence. can the u.s. free itself from foreign oil and how much will it cost? devon energy is helping us break down the facts ant what it will take to get us there. bob, these projections... they're... optimistic. productivity up, costs down, time to market reduced... those are good things. upstairs, they will see fantasy. not fantasy... logistics. ups came in, analyzed our supply chain, inventory systems... ups? ups. not fantasy? who would have thought? i did. we did, bob. we did. got it. >>> welcome back. we are live at the nasdaq market site in times square. a hot topic on the road to the white house with president obama highlighting his first term's policy throughout his campaign. >> here's what
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 12:00pm EST
the downgrade to u.s. debt. i think the consumer is actually okay, which is why i like macy's right for the middle class. >> we look forward to having you back and enjoy thanksgiving. coming up, the as stock trading at ten-year lows today. is this a once in a lifetime opportunity for you to get in? we'll get details ahead and we head to the pits to tackle what happens to gold if the u.s. can't avoid the fiscal cliff and we'll check out the top stocks in the s&p 500 today ahead of the thanksgiving holiday. we'll be right back. americans are always ready to work hard for a better future. since ameriprise financial was founded back in 1894, they've been committed to putting clients first. helping generations through tough times. good times. never taking a bailout. there when you need them. helping millions of americans over the centuries. the strength of a global financial leader. the heart of a one-to-one relationship. together for your future. ♪ olaf gets great rewards for his small business! pizza! [ garth ] olaf's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! he
CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 4:00pm EST
because the underlying fundamentals in the u.s. economy are clearly improving, and you also have a stabilization or soft landing happening in china at the same time. >> david kelly, what do you want to be doing here? what's your strategy for the fiscal cliff? do you think we go over it, and what do you want to do? >> for a long-term investor, you don't try and play this one. i agree with stephanie about the market probably going higher once they get a resolution. they will get a resolution. it's possible it could go into early january. i still think they're more likely to get a resolution done before the end of the year. either way, they'll get a resolution done. when that happens, then we'll resort to looking at the u.s. economy, which is strengthening a bit here. also, the extreme and relative valuations between high-quality fixed income and equities will push money towards equities. i would not run for cover here because of the volatility. i think you just have to, you know, hold your ground through this and hope that the market moves higher next year. >> bob, this activity at
CNBC
Nov 12, 2012 4:00pm EST
the course of the year. thankfully we've been very u.s.-centric in our investments over the course of 2011-2012. what we're preparing for now is looking again at the foreign markets in 2013. >> foreign markets meaning you want to be allocating money outside of the u.s. because of these issues in the u.s.? >> well, taking a look at some of the large global players here in the u.s. and outside, because as tax rates go up here in the united states, what we're about to see is probably the laugher curve in reverse. tax rates going up, revenues declining, creating a headwind for gdp. we're look at companies in the world for looking for global growth opportunity outside our borders. >> mark, let me get your standpoint on this. all year all we've been hearing about are dividend payers. why? because the yield -- there's no yield anywhere with rates where they are. everyone is searching for yield. they've found it in some companies that actually pay dividend, etf that pay dividend. there's a lot of those that have done so well. is this the time to avoid or sell those companies now or not? >> well, i
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 1:00pm EST
's next. >>> if congress drifts u.s. economy off the fiscal cliff, the department of education's 2013 budget will be cut by over $4 billion with $256 million cut from the federal student aid program. and his new boss told him two things -- cook what you love, and save your money. joe doesn't know it yet, but he'll work his way up from busser to waiter to chef before opening a restaurant specializing in fish and game from the great northwest. he'll start investing early, he'll find some good people to help guide him, and he'll set money aside from his first day of work to his last, which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade. it's just common sense. when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >>> welcome back. i'm bertha coombs
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 4:00pm EST
down. we stress doing it in local currency. the other areas are u.s. high yield, which i still think is valuable. we do think spreads will contract and emerging market equities as well. >> jordan, what about you? how are you preparing for what could be an eventuality where we go over the cliff and we've got to deal with higher taxes and a slower economy? a lot of people expecting recession in 2013, if, in fact, this occurs. >> think about what works well in a slow-growth economy. consumer products companies do well. high dividend payers. you'll see 100 companies that have already declared dividends this month. those are the strongest companies in the market. those are the ones that can afford to buy back shares or invest in high r.o.e. projects next year. i wouldn't avoid them just thinking dividend taxes are going up. they're the strongest in the market. you also have energy infrastructure, which is paying about 6%. most of it is a return of principle. these are companies with some of the lowest cost of capital ever. high return projects, long-term contracts. the government is in su
CNBC
Nov 8, 2012 3:00pm EST
there again? >> well, again, the u.s. stimulated the last crisis with our subprime crisis. the world was awash in debt. demographic trends were set to slow. now we have the same thing replaying with europe set to be the trigger this time with their sovereign debt crisis. we have even greater debt now in countries around the world. demographics is getting ready to slow more in the next few years. i think we're prime for a crisis. this time it's going to be europe that triggers it, not our fiscal cliff, not our fed. if we could take the whole world down, europe can take the whole world down. think of it this way. we've had two bubbles and we're in a third one. each bubble has taken us a little higher. each crash has taken us a little lower. 6,000 is simply the bottom trend line through those bottoms, including the 6440 in early 2009. it's a slight new low. it's not anything that should be unexpected given the trend. >> well, it's still, you know, half of where we are right now. it's only a two-year period. ron, take the other side of that. what do you think? >> i think it's a pretty easy other s
CNBC
Nov 12, 2012 12:00pm EST
, you said you wanted to be u.s. centric. i understand you. there's certain companies. i'll mention one or two. yum brands and ibm. ibm probably gets close to 65% of their revenue outside the u.s. how do you make the distinction, i guess? >> it's going to be impossible with these megacap companies like walmart, yum or apple to make that distinction. but what you want to do is you want to be as a dollar invested investor here in the united states, you don't want to be exposed to currency fluctuation. so in 2013 you may have the dollar rally, the euro be dragged down. at this point i would say be more exposed to the u.s. than perhaps overseas. >> you want to get defensive and pretty much -- pretty severely, right? consumer staples? things like that? >> right. what you're going to have happening here is expectations, s&p earnings are going to come down. around $115 a share. we're expecting $105. revenue growth, nonexistent for the last three quarters. this quarter the reason why the market has collapsed over the last month and a half is due to the fact that revenues haven't moved. that's w
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 9:00am EST
, this is fascinating. the fiscal cliff issue is a reason for many markets to move in the u.s. it's also big reason in europe and as it overlays several months going back to june with dow jones industrial average, you can see that our market was impacted more by the election but both charts are highly correlated and it's the fact that we are talking potential solutions to our fiscal cliff. melissa lee, back to you. >> thank you very much, rick santelli. just a note here, we're waiting for intel to begin trading again. a delayed open because of news that ceo will be retiring in may. we're awaiting that opening trade. 9:45 eastern time is our latest indication. meantime, will we see a massive correction even if there is a fiscal cliff deal? that's what david shulman is saying. find out why the senior economist is making such a bearish call. brewing job creation. what the folks at sam adams are doing to get food and beverage entrepreneurs a lift. stay tuned. [ male announcer ] introducing the new dell xps 12. part of a whole new line of tablets from dell. it's changing the conversation. ♪ well, havi
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 6:00am EST
. blankfein writes "there is more than a trillion dollars of cash sitting on balance sheets of u.s. non-financial companies. certain will increase their capital expenditures currently at anemic levels, contributing to a virtuous cycle of jobs and growth." minimizing increases in marginal rates that could stifle risk taking and robust growth. he also stresses the importance of restoring confidence in public finance by implementing spending cuts and revenue increases. in the meantime, dallas fed president richard fisher tells cnbc that the central bank can't do much more to shelter the economy. >> we need to completely reboot tax policy and spending policy. if we have temporary fixes to the fiscal cliff, just push out the envelope of indecision until we have a sense of true direction, and it's time for our politicians to get their act together. >> fisher says he does not view the fed as a safety net. that is certainly a change of perception, one that congress is going to have to figure out pretty quickly along with the rest of washington. >> that it is. there's been a number of interviews
CNBC
Nov 8, 2012 9:00am EST
time in nearly a decade and the u.s. underperforming. any doubt now that rivals are stealing share? >> retailers like macy's finally quantifying the effect of hurricane sandy. walmart kicking off black friday earlier than ever. we start this morning with the markets looking to bounce back from yesterday's selloff and nearly 1313 drop in the dow. europe on wall street's radar after the ecb and bank of england kept key rates unchanged. draghi holding a press conference right now saying he sees economic rekafr ri remaining weak and reforms are crucial to boosting growth potential on top of greece passing an unpopular package of austerity measures on wednesday and necessary for greece to receive another round of international financial aid. china's ruling communist party congress con vealing today in a leadership change. so much to digest overseas, jim. what came out of the ecb is expected. came out of greece seems to be largely expected. but spain still resisting. a bailout. that's trouble. >> i know. every day the crucial -- that's the crucial link. you have to give them the good loa
CNBC
Nov 26, 2012 6:00am EST
at the ex-have a dax, up 5%. ftse up nearly 4% in the last week on top of pretty good gains for the u.s. markets as you know between 3% and 4%, as well. so no surprise perhaps today that we're a little bit weaker on the back of those gains. 8:2 just about decliners outpacing advancers. this is how it translates. ftse 100 down half a percent. xetra dax up a quarter. ibex down about half of 1%. a number of things going on in politics as ever. we had regional elections in spain. yields you can see slightly higher, but still well below 6%. now, these regional elections fairly important because we know catalonia has been pushing on on independence. now, it looks less likely we'll get that referendum, but not because people in catalonia are any less eager on a separatist movement. just that they didn't vote for the main guy who is proposing it. they voted for competitor party which is makes it slightly harder in the short term for them possibly to get a referendum going. so eases the pressure in the short term but means there is still a longer term problem there. catalonia is one of those reg
CNBC
Nov 22, 2012 4:00pm EST
-fired power plants generating electricity in the u.s., and those plants produce 130 million tons of waste called coal ash. it contains concentrations of mercury, arsenic, lead, and other toxic materials. and as lesley stahl first reported in 2009, when coal ash is dumped into wet ponds--and there are more than 500 of those across the country-- the result can have an enormous health risk on the people living in nearby communities. >> we get about 48%, nearly half of the electricity in this country from coal. >> jim roewer is one of the top lobbyists for the power industry. >> coal is going to be around for a long time. >> and we really can't get rid of coal. >> we shouldn't get rid of coal. >> well, should or shouldn't, we can't, and coal makes waste. would you say that the industry has done a good job of disposing of the coal ash waste? >> we can do better. >> does that mean no? >> well, we had a kingston spill. >> that's kingston, tennessee, where, in december 2008, a giant retention pool of coal ash buckled under the weight of five decades of waste. >> all the power lines have been knoc
CNBC
Nov 27, 2012 3:00pm EST
, of course concerns about the fiscal cliff here in the u.s. also, expectations we'll see further monetary easing in japan. all bullish for gold. taking a quick look at what happened in the energy complex. a mixed day there. crude pulling back despite some very good economic news. the dollar strength at play there as well. all of this as the december options expired. ahead of tomorrow's inventory report, which is expected to show a build in crude inventory. natural gas rebounding from yesterday's decline, which was spurred by the forecast for a warm december. back to you. >> all right, mary. thank you very much. >> all right. we've got 52 minutes before the closing bell. the dow jones industrial average off of its lows, down 55 points. the nasdaq is lower by -- fractionally lower. >> and don't look now, but just as housing is showing signs of life, congress may be taking away the mortgage interest deduction. we're going to look at that coming up here. >>> plus, congressional cliff divers we call them. we're going to hear from a democratic lawmaker who says let's just do it. let's go off th
CNBC
Nov 1, 2012 4:00pm EDT
that the u.s. doesn't go into a recession? >> well, first i want to say the metaphor fiscal cliff is probably the wrong one. you step off a cliff, that's your last step. for many politicians, the real metaphor is it's a slope. they gradually go into these tax increases and spending cuts. they feel they can turn around and walk back up the slope, retroactively reverse the changes. in that circumstance, in that scenario, it creates a lot of uncertainty for businesses and for taxpayers. what will our taxes be next year? how are we going to make some plans for our business or personal finances? it's that uncertainty that's going to, i think, have adverse effects for the economy. >> okay. that makes a lot of sense. michael jones, how do you want to invest here with all this? >> i think there are times when the market is really simple. don't fight the fed. you certainly don't want to fight the fed when they've got the ecb, the bank of japan, the people's bank of china, and virtually every other central bank on their side. you've had unprecedentedly aggressive monetary stimulus. we have open-ended c
CNBC
Nov 7, 2012 12:00pm EST
, the euro u.s. dollar crosses hugely influential on u.s. stock prices. it has been for a long time and the news we heard out of germany was pretty bad and now you combine that with the fact that we're through this last earning season. and now we're going to plunge into this fiscal cliff stuff and i don't think that anyone believes it's going to be an easy compromise, even the people who think we're going to see a compromise are expecting a run of negative headlines that hits the tape day after day. that's kind of what is going on here. the game is in the obama index and is probably not going to last because selling like this tends to take down everyone in the end. >> but it's telling that that's the only area of the market that appears to be positive today, right? >> i agree. >> and what's the message of the markets today, in your opinion? >> i think that this is a focus shift. this is basically saying, look, we had a lot of tough government budget problems, tough business investor problems that we put off until after the elections and said we have some certainty and we can readdre
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 4:00pm EST
, there is some risk there and maybe something needs to be done. but we're lumping in u.s. treasury money funds, u.s. government agency money funds, muni money funds. are we going to say they're subject to credit loss also? we have to get more specific about these major policy changes rather than throwing a blanket over an entire industry. >> great point. we're going to leave it there. you're betting on whether or not we go over the fiscal cliff this year. what do you think? >> i'm worried. >> you're frworried. >> i don't see the leadership at this point in time i'm hoping to see from the white house. >> walt, great to have you on the program. really appreciate it. walter is the president and ceo of the charles schwab corporation. >>> meanwhile, the honeywell ceo was at that fiscal cliff meeting with president obama today. it just wrapped up. he joins us now for a first-on cnbc interview from the white house. david, good to have you on the program. thank you so much for joining us. >> thanks. good to be here. >> okay. so leading up to this meeting with the president, you were skeptiabou seeing a dea
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 12:00pm EST
for the dow. the disappointment in the walmart is the u.s. comps in expectations? >> yes. >> you own both. >> yes. i do. weekly and monthly technical charts. these are pretty different reports. i think it's really simple. let's not make it overly complicated. target beat and raised. walmart did the number. forward guidance was lackluster. they had a lot less exciting things to say qualitatively. people are lnl making the shift between the two. >> is it time to do that? walmart's had a good year. it's in the top third in terms of dow performers. time to bail on walmart and pick up target? >> walmart has some protection. before selling i would wait to see if it can hold that level. what's interesting about target is that everything they're doing strategically seems to be working. the move into canada. the store branded credit cards. the loyalty programs. they're all firing on all cylinders in every way. i like both, but if i were to buy one over the other i'd probably go with target right now because they seem to have this moment in time figured out. >> which, murph, you added to target tod
CNBC
Nov 20, 2012 9:00am EST
's going on in defense. also, regardless of the fiscal cliff there's cuts. the u.s. government is the world's biggest buyer of software associated with the running of any kind of government. that's another kind of corollary here. a big comment from a lot of people in the defense industry about that yesterday. i think they're the first company to come out and make realistic expectations of what will happen in the next couple of years. back to you. >> okay. thank you. dave cote is the head of the curve on all of this. let's shift to bonds and dollar. rick santelli at the cme group in chicago. rick? >> thank you, jim. everyone is excited about good housing numbers. everybody but the fixed income market. everybody but the equity market. i know there's an hp issue here. however, let's look at the charts. let's put up a two-day chart of tens. clearly you can see we're up about a basis point on the day. if you look on the right side of the chart and look around 8:30 eastern, you can't pick out that we had a good housing number. if you really switch this around a bit, you look at the shorter mature
CNBC
Nov 23, 2012 12:00pm EST
. >> but the question is what your long-term outlook is. if you're betting against u.s. growth, betting against -- or betting there will be a huge issues in the coming years on these -- on the deficit issue, you may want to keep it off the table. >>> there's a third area there. i don't talk to anybody, steve or our guest, who doesn't think the u.s. can easily ramp up growth. the real discussion i don't think is the true u.s. economy. i thinkist the moguling being throw in front of it, our self-inflected issues, you know, last time around we sequestration. are we going to have sequestration 2? of course we'll put a band-aid, but we need leverage to have reform predicated to surrender on the band-aid. >>> we've got to go, guys. i've got to go with this. we've got to move on. this is the last hour of trading, so we've got to move here. thank you for your thoughts today. steve, thank you, you're voting on a committee of politicians. i find hope in that somehow. >> yeah. you're in the hopeful camp. >> hoping at the last moment they will do the right thing. >> was that a pig that just flew by? the ma
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 6:00pm EST
toward the banks. yet wells fargo, jp morgan, and u.s. bank corp are pretty much unchanged. and the credit card bank capital one thought to be the bane of the credit card bashing of obama, actually up 8%. bank of america has clashed from $47 to $49. a lot of them 57 to 17. 184 to 465. you have to draw a conclusion other than goldman and morgan have the wrong business models for the moment. and the big domestic banks have the right ones, except the poorly run, poorly executing bank of america, which can't benefit from the model because it's been so horribly hobbled by previous management's mistakes. >> the house of pain. >> that said, will goldman and morgan stanley do better under romney? is dodd frank the liaison? or depending on trading and merging acquisitions as the pedaling of big acquisitions. maybe they can come back. i still can't pin the tail on obama. too much disparity within the sector. obama care was supposed to take the profit margin out of the drug stocks, right? merck and fizer are unchanged. they're running gilliad. i think it's better drugs and better mana
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 9:00am EST
's number two. third one of course is u.s. election. this is where some of the problems is. have you noticed german bonds today moving on the upside rather aggressively. u.s. bonds moving on the upside. that's all this stalemate concerns out here. that's all i heard this morning. that's all i heard over the weekend. the likely outcome is a stalemate no matter who wins on the fiscal cliff. obama will have to compromise. romney will have to compromise. what's the best hope for the industry and business right now? best hope is a last-minute deal to postpone tax cuts for yet another year, which could in fact go into the first quarter of negotiations. some of the people are more optimistic it will happen before that. some are not. that's why we get bonds moving to the upside right now. jim, i noticed that you mentioned the deal this morning with kbw. it's a symptom of what's going on in the friday overall. this was the big topic of the day. those who didn't hear, they are buying kbw for no premium. we're talking 6% premium. the stock was 16. offering 17 and change. that's no premium out there. th
CNBC
Nov 7, 2012 5:00pm EST
in the form of u.s. bank corps, down 3.5% today, if you want to trade, bank of america helps on the upside, which i don't think we will be seeing a lot of in the foreseeable future. >> banks, like other sectors, live in this very bad place, they see huge gapes this year, people want to lock in the gains at 2012 tax rates and the dividend growth aspect that you mentioned, tim, essentially gone away. financials are like that pharma is like that telecom is like that. all in this category where there was dividend growth, dividend yield and big gains so far this year. >> particularly with the financeal, short xlf, shorted it a couple weeks back, such of a run-up in there too much for net interest margins declining, potential for regulatory issues, for the capital markets, business dying. so you get that and today with the elizabeth warren election that has every not be financial area wondering what is their business going to look like. had ubs to close down their investment banking division, fixed income area, really seeing this restructuring, not much where is a bank going to make money the ne
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 7:00pm EST
u.s. responses were in realtime to that situation. he has testified on the hill before, but this will be the first chance for lawmakers to talk to him since the sex scandal erupted. and obviously that's one that people are going to be watching very closely. but it will be behind closed doors. so we will not see him on camera tomorrow, larry. >> no, but it will leak out. the leaks will be great fun. eamon, i just want to ask you one thing. the president got all heated up about susan rice. but susan rice sold a story with the video and the spontaneous demonstration. that was subsequently proven not credible. in fact, it was proven not credible even before she started selling it. and mr. obama still has not dealt with that part of the story. how did she get that story? why did she sell it? and why did he sell it when he knew it wasn't credible? >> well, what the president did today, larry, was he linked himself politically welch with susan race. he hitched his wagon to hers in a political sense, and the president saying, look, if you're going to go after her, you're going
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 9:00am EST
not only surprises the street with a beat but says the u.s. enterprise business is showing signs of improvement. >>> and abercrombie silences the shorts. >> the president is scheduled to meet with a dozen ceos this afternoon to hear their concerns about looming tax increases and spending cuts. 73% of participants in a "wall street journal" ceo council conference said the fiscal cliff is their primary concern. goldman chairman and ceo lloyd blankfein talking about the importance of avoiding the fiscal cliff. he writes there's more than a trillion dollars of cash that is sitting on the balance sheets of u.s. nonfinancial companies with certainty about tax rates, companies will increase their capital expenditures currently at anemic levels contributing to a virtuous cycle of jobs and growth." if there was a disagreement as to whether this is becoming a mainstream story. story of "usa today," a giant cliff and inside a chart of how it will affect people. this is getting real. >> the editor of "usa today" is the single best print journalist going today. he understands what the pulse i
CNBC
Nov 13, 2012 9:00am EST
signs of recovery in if the housing market. jim, 4.2 on global comps. 4.3 in the u.s. frank referring to what he calls a healing in the u.s. housing market. >> he's remarkable. he's correctly been negative when it was right to be negative. he's now positive. i was most concerned that this company would have a big dip right here because there's a lot of companies that are reporting that the last few weeks have been bad because of sappndy. didn't skip a beat. stock was down after a series of headlines that misinterpreted the charge. this one could be off to the races. >> what's interesting about home depot, they didn't outline sandy impact because it would be the pull forward in terms of sales in preparation for the hurricane but the books did close prior to sandy so full impact of sandy won't be felt. color expected on the conference call but that could be a key driver going into the last quarter of the year. metrics on the quarter were good. best ticket growth in four years in terms of ticket size. average ticket 54.50. up 2.9% year on year. even below the surface the numbers were rea
CNBC
Nov 2, 2012 4:00pm EDT
performance in the quarter. >> what are you seeing in market demand globally? sales increased in the u.s. and abroad. are you seeing a stronger global story today? >> we are. about 2/3 of our business is in latin america. most of the latin american countries in the mid-single digits. we see better category growth in general. category growth in the u.s. is picking up, however. we saw about almost 1.5% to 2% category growth in the u.s. that's a big reversal from where it was two years ago where it was down 2%. we're starting to see the consumer stabilize in the u.s. we're certainly seeing better growth in latin america in particular. >> let me ask you about the implications of hurricane sandy. first off, these gas lines in new york. the story has been just horrible with people unable to get gasoline because these gas stations do not have power. has this impacted your business? >> it hasn't yet, maria. we have one major manufacturing facility in the path of the storm. that was in aberdeen, maryland. our folk there is had the plant shut down for about 24 hours from midday monday to midday tu
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 4:00pm EST
softer condition and background in europe politically. and i think improving conditions here in the u.s. for the consumer and for manufacturing and for gdp in general. our general background is pretty positive. >> great points there. sandy, what about you? you say regardless of who wins the election, the fiscal cliff would be either downsized or deferred. what does that mean? >> well, i think downsizing is more likely. have you to factor in the hurricane as well because that's going to be a half a percentage point decline as well, coupled with, you need to get that fiscal cliff down to 1% or maybe 0.5%. i think the downsizing has to be pretty substantial. they're either going to have to defer it to the new congress and either a new administration or the existing one, but they've got to get it downsized pretty substantially pretty quickly. and it's going to require, because of that gridlock we're going to have again, a bipartisan concurrence. that's going to be the test in 2013. >> chris, what do you think? how do you want to invest with $1.5 billion under management, how are you allocat
CNBC
Nov 7, 2012 4:00pm EST
thing that's changed a little bit is the u.s. has to take its tough medicine. tough medicine is we have to deal with issues like austerity and budgets and taxes. that's what europe has gone through the last three or four years. my guess is going forward this is the opportunity for europe to outshine the u.s. not that the u.s. will be a bad place to be, but incrementally, i think europe really looks good post-election. >> europe is going to outshine the u.s., huh? >> only because people are expecting such terrible things out of europe that when you expect terrible and you get, you know, so-so, that's an upside surprise any way you look at it. >> all right. we'll leave it there. gentlemen, thank you very much. we'll keep watching both those stories. let's get to john fort. he just spoke with the qualcomm ceo on the heels of their earnings report. let's find out what he has to say. john, over to you. >> maria, you already mentioned the headline numbers. i want to focus on guidance and a bit of color. that might change the way people are thinking about some elements of technology, and parti
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 4:00pm EST
that is a point of view, i think that assumes they really don't tackle the fiscal deficit. i think the u.s. economy, there's so much money on the sidelines, both in business and retail investors. it wouldn't take much positive momentum. i don't think the bar is that high that people -- you know, they really want to get back to business. i think -- >> but we just have to accept less than we would have gotten historically. >> oh, absolutely. i think right now it's still going to be a long, slow recovery. i don't think it's going to magically come back and shoot and a everything is going to go. it still will be a long, slow recovery. we've come to a difficult crisis. it's a financial crisis. they take time to heal. right now it's about confidence. we really need that leadership and some kind of sentiment in a direction will be helpful. >> real quick, maria bartiromo was speaking with the charles schwab ceo earlier this week. they're cutting their etf fees, which puts pressure on everybody in the industry. will you be doing the same? >> well, we don't manufacture etfs. we have what we call an
CNBC
Nov 18, 2012 7:30pm EST
on the program. >> glad to be here. >> so the international energy agency this week said the u.s. will be the largest global oil producer in 2020. this is amazing. so tell me about this sea change in global energy flows today. >> it's great to have more american-made energy, but it's not good enough. we also need to modernize our energy grid. it's not good enough to just be the best at producing the energy the last century. and we are going to spend a couple trillion dollars modernizing the grid, and the question is how we do it. hopefully we do it in a way that protects us from cyber security risks that makes the grid more resilient from storms. that facilitates energy efficiency and renewable energy, cleaner energy in the future. >> you know, it's interesting, because i think we all want to be energy-independent. we want -- we know this country is rich in natural gas. but for the most part, people don't want it in my backyard and yet ge ceo jack with welsh compared it to the internet boom with job pro portion and increases. how do you balance it, the potential economic boom we
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 6:00am EST
thanksgiving week, aside from the one disturbance in the central u.s. and the one other area off the carolinas, fairly quiet with the exception of the northwest coastline. that's where we're dealing with a lot of snow and a lot of rain. much of the snow over 7,000 feet. rain especially coastal oregon in some areas 7, 8 inches over the next few days. tuesday, still fairly quiet travel wise. wednesday, that persists in the northwest still remaining one of the trouble spots. thanksgiving, looking pretty good across a good stretch of the country. just a few showers up towards seattle. and as far as the numbers for friday are concerned, looking good there, as well. that may help some of the consumer numbers on black friday. >> why do you have a cool there for thanksgiving? i thought it would be fairly mild here on thursday. i heard low 50s. >> here we are in november, though. so cool, 50s. it's close to the averages. >> all right. just wanted to make sure. i was paying attention. supposed to be sunny and 50s. >> are you going to the parade? >> i'm going to try to go to the parade. we try to go ever
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 9:00am EST
eight years of the weakest growth in u.s. history. so, he needs a deal so that the next four years are better than the last four years. >> we'll see. obviously, still the opening days of this process. charlie, the fed chairman in new york yesterday referring to these talks, reiterating how important it is they get done. he coined the term, fiscal cliff, "the washington post" today says. also adds that the evans rule is an area they continue to look into. fallout today from what he said yesterday? >> ilgt bit but that will happen. the market will be going up and down on small indicators. is john boehner smiling or frowning today? we'll have a lot of volatility for the next two or three months because i do think it's going to be two or three months. i think this is going to go into january. i think close to a 50% chance we'll go over the fiscal cliff temporarily. the market won't react well to that so it's going to be very, very bumpy couple of months here. >> that said, seasonally, i was told not too long ago, the period between thanksgiving week and december 3rd, the past 20 years
CNBC
Nov 2, 2012 3:00pm EDT
and other groups allied with the republican campaign are doing the same thing. the u.s. chamber of commerce, though they didn't want us to have a camera in their phone banks, say they're also making millions of calls this weekend. everyone is trying to goose the turnout. the turnout by the two sides is what's going to tell us which of these poll models is correct. the likely voters are something that pollsters can only guess at. they're trying to turn likely voters into actual voters. >> all right, john. thanks so much. we'll keep watching that. very, very important component to this story. >>> 40 minutes before the closing bell sounds on wall street for friday. the market is under pressure today after being up 57 points on the better than expected jobs numbers. a complete reversal. we're looking at a triple-digit decline to end the week. >>> meantime, verizon is warning that now that superstorm sandy could significant hit its bottom line. what about at&t? has it been hit as well? comparing those two coming up next. >>> and how will sandy impact clorox? the ceo will join us exclusively late
CNBC
Nov 6, 2012 4:00pm EST
another couple of percentage points on the upside. keep in mind that the u.s. economy is still growing at a 1% to 2% happenedndle on gdp. like your previous guests mentioned, this fiscal drag that will occur in 2013. so, you know, 1% move in the market today is just noise. we have to look towards what global gdp is going over the course of the next 18 months. that's decelerating. >> so what you're saying, chad, is it doesn't mat who ater who the white house. >> 2013 is going to look exactly like 2012. global gdp will be decelerating. the u.s. economy should perhaps be at a 1% to 2% gdp growth trajectory. that's including a fiscal drag in the united states of about 1%. that's our baseline assumption. but one should consider also that over in europe, you're going to be going into a recession in 2013. and our expectation there is for, perhaps, a 1% contraction. that's going to affect the financial markets here in the united states. one should not dilute themselves of that fact. >> maria, i think that the market today is probably as much about just election uncertainty coming out of the ma
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 4:00pm EST
dropping 50% here in the u.s. and unemployment spiking another 4%. what's different this year in the worst case scenario, the federal reserve is including a hypothetical slip down in asia with additional weakness in china. back to you. >> all right, mary. thank you so much. keep it right here. alan simpson and erskine bowles are next on this special "rise above" edition of the "closing bell." >>> coming up, fixing the fiscal mess. alan simpson and erskine bowles sit down with maria on the eve of the critical meeting between the president and congressional leaders. could their plan be the key to stopping america from going over the fiscal cliff? this exclusive event is next right here on this special edition of the "closing bell." iy stock screener, you can try strategies from independent experts and see what criteria they use. such as a 5% yield on dividend-paying stocks. then you can customize the strategies and narrow down to exactly those stocks you want to follow. i'm mark allen of fidelity investments. the expert strategies feature is one more innovative reason serious investors are c
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 12:00pm EST
to these oil incidents and automatically had a reaction in the u.s. oil price in particular and seen prices supported already on when's happening in the gaza strip, the escalation of fighting there. that's certainly supportive of prices and an expiration today of the december contract and often leads to volatility so a lot to watch in the oil market and hearing that fires have been extinguished from the fire of the oil rig and no spillage of oil in to the gulf of mexico. back the you. >> sharon, thanks so much for us on the oil trade. let's bring in john killdo you have and the biggest surprise in the saga over the last several days is that oil didn't spike more from gaza. >> that's right, scott. a real push-pull going on right now between the economic outlook for next year particularly for oil demand and demand ratcheted down by the major organizations that track it. and, of course, i think the response to the gaza situation is reasonable because, of course, there's no direct oil involved but all about hamas and a proxy for iran and where do we go from here if anywhere? >> give me the read
CNBC
Nov 2, 2012 9:00am EDT
epperson at the nymex. u.s. jobs data sent gold prices sharply lower, below $1,700 an ounce. the first time we've seen gold this low since september 7th. we did see a lot of stocks go under way as we got the jobs data. oil prices are slightly lower, the stronger dollar pressuring oil prices as well as several e refineries still shut here along the east coast due to hurricane sandy and gasoline futures up slightly but the national average keeps coming down, $3.50, down 8 cents from a week ago, down 28 cents in the month. back to you, carl. >> thanks so much, sharon epperson. >>> the coast guard opening the port of new york and new jersey on a restricted basis allowing the backlog of barges allowing gasoline and fuel into the area. how soon might we see in the areas affected by sandy? good morning, kate. >> reporter: good morning, carl. i just returned from the dockses behind me where dry dock work ers are hoping to get themselves ready for new ships to be repaired as early as monday. they have a waterfront view of what's going on in the port of new york and new jersey which was just reopene
CNBC
Nov 2, 2012 6:00am EDT
. that was in the u.s. as of 8:00 p.m. on on monday october the 29th. we originally saw previous landfall. as we progress into the northeast for today, light snowfall and rain for today. but the bigger concern is what's happening with the system that will be diving across the country. it's going to take a nose dive south of the system that's actually produce rain and snow across the dakotas. it will eventually take a nose dive south. and what that will do, there we go, here's a look at some of our spotty showers as well as our snowfall. again, a little bit of being a tip weather still knocking on the door of the northwest. here's a look at that system that i was telling you about. again, that will produce 1 to 4 inches of snow into portions of the dakotas as well as knocking on the door of northwestern minnesota. our storm system once it does track a little further east on sunday, things getting a difference from southeastern texas all the way up in to north carolina. now, as for those of you who are keeping tabs again on the weather across the middle east, the bitterly cold temperatures as we g
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 7:00pm EST
this evening is mark ginsburg. he's the former u.s. ambassador to morocco. mark, welcome back to the show. look, i'm probably naive. but 16,000 reserves have been called up. maybe another 70,000 on the way. a ground war may start. can the israeli defense forces just take out the hamas forces? can they just take them out, martin? >> well, they can. and the fact of the matter is that they failed to do so in 2008 because of international pressure over civilian casualties. and that's of course the dilemma. but the fact of the matter is, larry, that we're seeing once and for all why we cannot let iran get a nuclear weapon. because hamas has been able to get these missiles from iran. and what's going to stop them if they're firing missiles at jerusalem today, what's going to stop them from firing a nuclear missile at israel tomorrow? that's why israel has to act authoritatively, finally, once and for all against the hamas military and civilian leadership. >> and stay on the ground for a while longer. in other words, not pull out. what i'm asking you i guess is just a basic military strategy issue. wi
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 12:00pm EST
monetary initiatives you will have? obviously in the u.s., fomc has to do something to replace operation twist. you look over to japan, you are finally getting chatter that they are going to get real aggressive, stimulus efforts, end could weaken. is it now looking like it is a globally coordinated effort here and just a race to take that currency as cheap as you possibly can get it? >> that's what you are seeing. really a keynesian warfare here across the world. big government is highly inn debt. all of the -- six of the major top ten economies. colossal debt, colossal leverage and they are trying to lever that up at this point. but the mark let fight them. i think it is about trading in -- inflection points. yen has been very, very weak. and as you said, and that's a sign that japan is moving that way. spain -- disturbing in europe in terms of their fiscal cliff, spanish ten years have been massively underperforming italian ten years. that's -- that's really a warning sign for another spain problem in the next couple of weeks. >> in your note today you say short the home builders and s
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